Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Gillian Robertson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAmanda Lemos: Well-roundedvsGillian Robertson: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Amanda Lemos wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gillian Robertson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Gillian Robertson threatens submissions; Amanda Lemos has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Gillian Robertson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Amanda Lemos has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Amanda Lemos
Red Corner
VS
Gillian Robertson
Blue Corner
+194
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
38
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amanda Lemos
oldest →latest
L
vs Zhang Weili · Aug 23W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25Gillian RobertsonW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Jun 23W
KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24W
vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24W
vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24W
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amanda LemosMetricGillian Robertson
2.75
Strikes / min
2.71
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
45%
Strike defense
56%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
2.76
63%
Takedown defense
38%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Amanda LemosGillian Robertson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amanda Lemos(10 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.927.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Amanda Lemos
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15
Gillian Robertson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights20