Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Amanda Ribas won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 11, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupAmanda Ribas: WrestlervsPaige VanZant: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Amanda Ribas wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Amanda Ribas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Amanda Ribas has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Amanda Ribas has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Amanda Ribas
Red Corner
VS
Paige VanZant
Blue Corner
-770
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+500
(17%)
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amanda RibasL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Maycee Barber · Jun 23W
KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23L
vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25L
KOvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 25Paige VanZant
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rose Namajunas · Dec 15W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jan 18W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amanda RibasMetricPaige VanZant
4.26
Strikes / min
3.35
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
60%
Strike defense
42%
2.05
TDs / 15 min
1.27
82%
Takedown defense
34%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.97evenly matched on net striking+0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Amanda RibasPaige VanZant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amanda Ribas(10 fights)Paige VanZant(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.4-22.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-420.0420.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.62.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Amanda Ribas
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights13
Paige VanZant
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights9