Flyweight
3 Rounds
Amir Albazi won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Amir Albazi wins(52.3%)
Actual result: Amir Albazi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessandro Costa has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Amir Albazi
Red Corner
VS
Alessandro Costa
Blue Corner
-425
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
32
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amir AlbaziL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jan 21W
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Aug 22W
vs Kai Kara-France · Jun 23L
vs Brandon Moreno · Nov 24L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Feb 26Alessandro Costa
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jimmy Flick · Jun 23L
vs Steve Erceg · Nov 23W
KOvs Kevin Borjas · May 24L
KOvs Alden Coria · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amir AlbaziMetricAlessandro Costa
2.47
Strikes / min
3.73
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
3.72
59%
Strike defense
56%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.79
62%
Takedown defense
86%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.41Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Amir AlbaziAlessandro Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amir Albazi(7 fights)Alessandro Costa(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.4-46.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Amir Albazi
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7
Alessandro Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6