Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Anderson Silva won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupAnderson Silva: Well-roundedvsStephan Bonnar: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Anderson Silva wins(58.8%)
Actual result: Anderson Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stephan Bonnar enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Anderson Silva (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Anderson Silva
Red Corner
VS
Stephan Bonnar
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+800
(11%)
51
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anderson SilvaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16W
vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17L
vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20Stephan BonnarW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jul 10W
vs Igor Pokrajac · Dec 10W
vs Kyle Kingsbury · Nov 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anderson SilvaMetricStephan Bonnar
3.05
Strikes / min
2.76
2.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
60%
Strike defense
52%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
1.32
69%
Takedown defense
60%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap-0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anderson SilvaStephan Bonnar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anderson Silva(10 fights)Stephan Bonnar(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+38.7-38.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-231.0231.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Anderson Silva
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14
Stephan Bonnar
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4