Welterweight
3 Rounds
Joaquin Buckley won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 20, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAndre Fialho: StrikervsJoaquin Buckley: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Andre Fialho wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Joaquin Buckley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andre Fialho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joaquin Buckley is a KO finisher (73% of wins). Andre Fialho has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Joaquin Buckley has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquin Buckley (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Andre Fialho
Red Corner
VS
Joaquin Buckley
Blue Corner
+194
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andre FialhoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Miguel Baeza · Apr 22W
KOvs Cameron VanCamp · May 22L
KOvs Jake Matthews · Jun 22L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 22L
KOvs Tim Means · Sep 23Joaquin Buckley
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Vicente Luque · Mar 24W
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24W
KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andre FialhoMetricJoaquin Buckley
3.30
Strikes / min
3.62
6.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
45%
Strike defense
58%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
1.43
66%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.96Δ 3.48 — meaningful gap+0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andre Fialho(7 fights)Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-25.125.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Andre Fialho
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Joaquin Buckley
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights16