Featherweight
3 Rounds
Melquizael Costa won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 22, 2025·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupAndre Fili: WrestlervsMelquizael Costa: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Andre Fili wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Melquizael Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Melquizael Costa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melquizael Costa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Andre Fili
Red Corner
VS
Melquizael Costa
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-142
(59%)
35
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andre Fili
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Lucas Almeida · Dec 23L
KOvs Dan Ige · Feb 24W
vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26Melquizael CostaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Jun 24W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Mar 25W
vs Julian Erosa · May 25W
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Dec 25W
KOvs Dan Ige · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andre FiliMetricMelquizael Costa
3.88
Strikes / min
4.38
4.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
50%
Strike defense
54%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
2.00
71%
Takedown defense
58%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andre FiliMelquizael Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andre Fili(10 fights)Melquizael Costa(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.3-35.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Andre Fili
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights25
Melquizael Costa
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9