Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nik Lentz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 28, 2010·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Andre Winner wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Nik Lentz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andre Winner has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Andre Winner has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Andre Winner
Red Corner
VS
Nik Lentz
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
44
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andre WinnerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rafaello Oliveira · Mar 10L
SUBvs Dennis Siver · Nov 10L
vs Anthony Njokuani · Jul 11Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andre WinnerMetricNik Lentz
2.52
Strikes / min
3.44
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.30
74%
Takedown defense
43%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.05Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andre WinnerNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andre Winner(4 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.32.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
Andre Winner
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22