Lightweight
3 Rounds
Andre Winner won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, March 31, 2010·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Andre Winner wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Andre Winner wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andre Winner enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andre Winner has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Andre Winner
Red Corner
VS
Rafaello Oliveira
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andre WinnerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nik Lentz · Aug 10L
SUBvs Dennis Siver · Nov 10L
vs Anthony Njokuani · Jul 11Rafaello OliveiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Gleison Tibau · May 11L
KOvs Yves Edwards · Oct 11W
vs Yoislandy Izquierdo · Jul 12L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Jul 13L
KOvs Erik Koch · Feb 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andre WinnerMetricRafaello Oliveira
2.52
Strikes / min
2.19
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
51%
Strike defense
59%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.49
74%
Takedown defense
11%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.05evenly matched on net striking-1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andre WinnerRafaello Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andre Winner(4 fights)Rafaello Oliveira(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Andre Winner
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Rafaello Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6