Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Natalia Silva won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 19, 2023·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrea Lee: Pressure fightervsNatalia Silva: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Andrea Lee wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Natalia Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrea Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Natalia Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Natalia Silva has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natalia Silva (53.5%).
- Andrea Lee has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Andrea Lee
Red Corner
VS
Natalia Silva
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
37
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'4"
175.26 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrea LeeL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Viviane Araujo · May 22L
vs Maycee Barber · Mar 23L
vs Miranda Maverick · Feb 24L
vs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 24L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 25Natalia SilvaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Victoria Leonardo · May 23W
vs Viviane Araujo · Feb 24W
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 24W
vs Alexa Grasso · May 25W
vs Rose Namajunas · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrea LeeMetricNatalia Silva
4.62
Strikes / min
4.81
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.36
61%
Strike defense
66%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.43
53%
Takedown defense
90%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.71Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap+2.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrea LeeNatalia Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrea Lee(10 fights)Natalia Silva(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-47.047.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Andrea Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Natalia Silva
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8