Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rinat Fakhretdinov won · KO/TKO R1
AG
RF
Andreas GustafssonvsRinat Fakhretdinov
UFC Event · Saturday, September 6, 2025Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupAndreas Gustafsson: WrestlervsRinat Fakhretdinov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Andreas Gustafsson wins(58.6%)
Actual result: Rinat Fakhretdinov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Andreas Gustafsson
Red Corner
VS
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Blue Corner
-132
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+112
(47%)
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andreas Gustafsson
oldest →latest
W
vs Khaos Williams · Jun 25Rinat FakhretdinovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andreas Michailidis · Jun 22W
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 22W
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 23W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 24W
vs Carlos Leal · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andreas GustafssonMetricRinat Fakhretdinov
5.82
Strikes / min
5.03
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.61
45%
Strike defense
54%
6.19
TDs / 15 min
3.91
100%
Takedown defense
91%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.19evenly matched on net striking+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andreas GustafssonRinat Fakhretdinov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andreas Gustafsson(2 fights)Rinat Fakhretdinov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-71.271.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-224.0224.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Andreas Gustafsson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2
Rinat Fakhretdinov
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6