Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Augusto Sakai won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2019·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsAugusto Sakai: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Augusto Sakai wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Augusto Sakai wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Augusto Sakai
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
47
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Augusto Sakai
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Sep 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 21L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 22W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricAugusto Sakai
3.82
Strikes / min
4.60
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.83
57%
Strike defense
48%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
0.23
76%
Takedown defense
56%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiAugusto Sakai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Augusto Sakai(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-20.920.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Augusto Sakai
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9