Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Andrei Arlovski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2019·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsBen Rothwell: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Andrei Arlovski wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Andrei Arlovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Ben Rothwell
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
47
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Ben Rothwell
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricBen Rothwell
3.82
Strikes / min
3.71
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
4.63
57%
Strike defense
47%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
0.68
76%
Takedown defense
70%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiBen Rothwell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Ben Rothwell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-45.045.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Ben Rothwell
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16