Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Andrei Arlovski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 5, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsFrank Mir: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Andrei Arlovski wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Andrei Arlovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Andrei Arlovski has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Frank Mir
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
47
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Frank Mir
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Josh Barnett · Aug 13L
vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15W
KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15L
KOvs Mark Hunt · Mar 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricFrank Mir
3.82
Strikes / min
2.18
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.84
57%
Strike defense
38%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
2.02
76%
Takedown defense
54%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap-1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiFrank Mir
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Frank Mir(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.5-40.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+53.0-53.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Frank Mir
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12