Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2019·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
47
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik
3.82
Strikes / min
3.48
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
57%
Strike defense
52%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
0.00
76%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiJairzinho Rozenstruik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-31.931.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15