Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Andrei Arlovski won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 30, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsJake Collier: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Andrei Arlovski wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Andrei Arlovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jake Collier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Jake Collier
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
47
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jared Vanderaa · Feb 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Jake CollierL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Carlos Felipe · Jun 21W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 23L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricJake Collier
3.82
Strikes / min
5.80
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
57%
Strike defense
50%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
0.71
76%
Takedown defense
67%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiJake Collier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Jake Collier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.9-36.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Jake Collier
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights14