Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Andrei Arlovski won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsJared Vanderaa: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Andrei Arlovski wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Andrei Arlovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Andrei Arlovski has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Jared Vanderaa
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
47
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Jared VanderaaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justin Tafa · May 21L
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Oct 21L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 22L
KOvs Chase Sherman · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricJared Vanderaa
3.82
Strikes / min
4.96
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
5.67
57%
Strike defense
45%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
0.18
76%
Takedown defense
20%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap-0.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiJared Vanderaa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Jared Vanderaa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.6-36.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Jared Vanderaa
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights7