Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Martin Buday won · S-DEC R3
AA
MB
Andrei ArlovskivsMartin Buday
UFC Event · Saturday, June 29, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsMartin Buday: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Martin Buday wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Martin Buday wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Martin Buday has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Martin Buday
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
47
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jared Vanderaa · Feb 22W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24Martin BudayW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 23W
SUBvs Josh Parisian · Aug 23L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Dec 23W
vs Uran Satybaldiev · Apr 25W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricMartin Buday
3.82
Strikes / min
4.39
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
4.49
57%
Strike defense
55%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
0.15
76%
Takedown defense
93%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiMartin Buday
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Martin Buday(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.428.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Martin Buday
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8