Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Andrei Arlovski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, May 13, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsPhilipe Lins: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Philipe Lins wins(52.1%)
Actual result: Andrei Arlovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Philipe Lins enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Philipe Lins has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Philipe Lins
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
47
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Philipe LinsW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 20W
vs Marcin Prachnio · Apr 22W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Feb 23W
vs Maxim Grishin · Jun 23W
vs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricPhilipe Lins
3.82
Strikes / min
3.80
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.59
57%
Strike defense
46%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
1.65
76%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiPhilipe Lins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Philipe Lins(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.118.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Philipe Lins
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6