Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Shamil Abdurakhimov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 15, 2018·Moscow, Moscow, Russia, Russia
Model Prediction: Andrei Arlovski wins(64.4%)
Actual result: Shamil Abdurakhimov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
47
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricShamil Abdurakhimov
3.82
Strikes / min
2.41
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
57%
Strike defense
55%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
1.01
76%
Takedown defense
45%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiShamil Abdurakhimov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.210.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-196.0196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Shamil Abdurakhimov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights11