Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tai Tuivasa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 9, 2018·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsTai Tuivasa: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Tai Tuivasa wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Tai Tuivasa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Andrei Arlovski has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Andrei Arlovski
Red Corner
VS
Tai Tuivasa
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
47
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricTai Tuivasa
3.82
Strikes / min
3.37
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
57%
Strike defense
42%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
0.00
76%
Takedown defense
58%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60Δ 1.84 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andrei ArlovskiTai Tuivasa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.08.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27
Tai Tuivasa
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17