Featherweight
3 Rounds
Andy Ogle won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 16, 2013·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Andy Ogle wins(73.0%)
Actual result: Andy Ogle wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andy Ogle enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andy Ogle has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Josh Grispi has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Andy Ogle
Red Corner
VS
Josh Grispi
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andy OgleL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Akira Corassani · Sep 12L
vs Cole Miller · Oct 13L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Feb 14L
vs Maximo Blanco · May 14L
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jan 15Josh GrispiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 11L
KOvs George Roop · Jun 11L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andy OgleMetricJosh Grispi
2.24
Strikes / min
1.44
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
50%
Strike defense
50%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
1.97
58%
Takedown defense
16%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.01Δ 2.28 — meaningful gap-2.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andy OgleJosh Grispi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andy Ogle(6 fights)Josh Grispi(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.6-30.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Andy Ogle
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6
Josh Grispi
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4