Featherweight
3 Rounds
Makwan Amirkhani won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 24, 2015·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Model Prediction: Andy Ogle wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Makwan Amirkhani wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andy Ogle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andy Ogle has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Andy Ogle
Red Corner
VS
Makwan Amirkhani
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andy OgleL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Akira Corassani · Sep 12W
vs Josh Grispi · Feb 13L
vs Cole Miller · Oct 13L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Feb 14L
vs Maximo Blanco · May 14Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21L
KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21W
SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22L
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andy OgleMetricMakwan Amirkhani
2.24
Strikes / min
1.33
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
50%
Strike defense
46%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
3.96
58%
Takedown defense
35%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.01Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Andy OgleMakwan Amirkhani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andy Ogle(6 fights)Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.048.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Andy Ogle
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6
Makwan Amirkhani
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14