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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Dione Barbosa won · Submission R1

Elo1471

Elo1543

Anna MelisanovsDione BarbosaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Saturday, July 18, 2026Oklahoma City, USA

Official fight result

Dione Barbosa won

Submission · Round 1 · 4:04

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Dione Barbosa

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Dione Barbosa at -631 American odds · hypothetical only

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Anna Melisano

Red Corner

Dione Barbosa

Blue Corner

+455

(18%)

Vegas Odds

-631

(86%)

1471

Elo

1543

N/A

Age

N/A

Stance

Orthodox

N/A

Height

5'6"

N/A

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anna MelisanoNo prior UFC fights on record.

Dione Barbosa

oldest →

vs Ernesta Kareckaite · May 24

vs Miranda Maverick · Jul 24

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Apr 25

vs Karine Silva · Aug 25

DECvs Melissa Gatto · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anna MelisanoMetricDione Barbosa

—

Strikes / min

2.21

—

Strikes absorbed / min

2.40

—

Strike defense

64%

—

TDs / 15 min

2.40

—

Takedown defense

63%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anna Melisano(1 fights)Dione Barbosa(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -72.1|Blue +72.1

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.3|Blue -49.3

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anna MelisanoTargetDione Barbosa

By target zone

25% acc · 50%

Head

50% acc · 40%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 60%

100% acc · 50%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 20%

Clinch

100% acc · 40%

Ground

67% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anna Melisano rounds

even

Dione Barbosa rounds

Round 1Dione Barbosa edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 6

Sig Strikes

5 / 7

33%

Sig Str %

71%

6 / 10

Total Strikes

22 / 29

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

3:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dione Barbosa	5 / 7	22 / 29	1 / 2	2
1	Anna Melisano	2 / 6	6 / 10	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Dione Barbosa

Odds

-631

Market-implied probability

Dione Barbosa 83%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Anna Melisano$555

Dione Barbosa (model pick · research)$116

83% market-implied · model 58% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -631 · never rewritten

Anna Melisano

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1

Dione Barbosa

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7