Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcel Fortuna won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 4, 2017·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAnthony Hamilton: WrestlervsMarcel Fortuna: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Anthony Hamilton wins(68.2%)
Actual result: Marcel Fortuna wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Hamilton enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marcel Fortuna has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Hamilton
Red Corner
VS
Marcel Fortuna
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
46
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony HamiltonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Feb 16W
KOvs Damian Grabowski · Jul 16L
SUBvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 16L
KOvs Daniel Spitz · Sep 17L
vs Adam Wieczorek · Nov 17Marcel FortunaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jordan Johnson · Jul 17L
vs Jake Collier · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony HamiltonMetricMarcel Fortuna
3.91
Strikes / min
3.83
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
45%
Strike defense
64%
2.62
TDs / 15 min
0.45
78%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.89Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap-0.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony HamiltonMarcel Fortuna
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Hamilton(10 fights)Marcel Fortuna(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.911.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Anthony Hamilton
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights10
Marcel Fortuna
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3