Middleweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Hernandez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 9, 2022·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Hernandez wins(64.7%)
Actual result: Anthony Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Fremd threatens submissions; Anthony Hernandez has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Anthony Hernandez has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Hernandez
Red Corner
VS
Josh Fremd
Blue Corner
-195
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Hernandez
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Feb 24W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Brendan Allen · Feb 25W
SUBvs Roman Dolidze · Aug 25L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 26Josh FremdL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tresean Gore · Oct 22W
SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Aug 23L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 23L
vs Andre Petroski · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony HernandezMetricJosh Fremd
4.57
Strikes / min
2.52
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
51%
Strike defense
47%
5.88
TDs / 15 min
0.66
68%
Takedown defense
30%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.47Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)Josh Fremd(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.0-4.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
Anthony Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Josh Fremd
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6