Middleweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Hernandez won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 17, 2024·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupAnthony Hernandez: WrestlervsRoman Kopylov: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Anthony Hernandez wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Anthony Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roman Kopylov is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Anthony Hernandez has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Anthony Hernandez threatens submissions; Roman Kopylov has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Roman Kopylov has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Roman Kopylov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Hernandez
Red Corner
VS
Roman Kopylov
Blue Corner
-218
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
32
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Hernandez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · May 23W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Brendan Allen · Feb 25W
SUBvs Roman Dolidze · Aug 25L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 26Roman KopylovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Fremd · Sep 23W
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24W
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25L
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony HernandezMetricRoman Kopylov
4.57
Strikes / min
4.54
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
51%
Strike defense
53%
5.88
TDs / 15 min
1.12
68%
Takedown defense
88%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.47Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony HernandezRoman Kopylov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)Roman Kopylov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.3-18.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
Anthony Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Roman Kopylov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11