Welterweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Johnson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 26, 2011·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Johnson wins(63.9%)
Actual result: Anthony Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Johnson has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Anthony Johnson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Dan Hardy
Blue Corner
-173
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+163
(38%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
198.12 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Johnson
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 15W
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 15W
KOvs Ryan Bader · Jan 16W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Aug 16L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · Apr 17Dan HardyW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Mar 10L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Oct 10L
SUBvs Chris Lytle · Aug 11W
KOvs Duane Ludwig · May 12W
vs Amir Sadollah · Sep 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony JohnsonMetricDan Hardy
3.25
Strikes / min
2.46
1.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
60%
Strike defense
51%
2.43
TDs / 15 min
0.73
77%
Takedown defense
35%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42Δ 2.40 — meaningful gap-0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Johnson(10 fights)Dan Hardy(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+47.9-47.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Anthony Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11
Dan Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6