Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Johnson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 26, 2014·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Johnson wins(63.1%)
Actual result: Anthony Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Johnson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rogerio Nogueira (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Rogerio Nogueira
Blue Corner
-660
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+540
(16%)
42
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Johnson
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 15W
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 15W
KOvs Ryan Bader · Jan 16W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Aug 16L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · Apr 17Rogerio NogueiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 16L
KOvs Ryan Bader · Nov 16W
KOvs Sam Alvey · Sep 18L
KOvs Ryan Spann · May 19L
vs Mauricio Rua · Jul 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony JohnsonMetricRogerio Nogueira
3.25
Strikes / min
2.43
1.83
Strikes absorbed / min
2.34
60%
Strike defense
59%
2.43
TDs / 15 min
0.64
77%
Takedown defense
62%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony JohnsonRogerio Nogueira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Johnson(10 fights)Rogerio Nogueira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.5-15.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-448.0448.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Anthony Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11
Rogerio Nogueira
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12