Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Anthony Johnson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 30, 2016·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupAnthony Johnson: WrestlervsRyan Bader: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Anthony Johnson wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Anthony Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Bader enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Anthony Johnson is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Ryan Bader has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Ryan Bader has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Anthony Johnson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Bader
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Johnson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jan 15L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 15W
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 15W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Aug 16L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · Apr 17Ryan BaderW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · Aug 14W
vs Phil Davis · Jan 15W
vs Rashad Evans · Oct 15W
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Sep 16W
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony JohnsonMetricRyan Bader
3.25
Strikes / min
2.82
1.83
Strikes absorbed / min
1.39
60%
Strike defense
71%
2.43
TDs / 15 min
3.37
77%
Takedown defense
80%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42evenly matched on net striking+1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony JohnsonRyan Bader
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Johnson(10 fights)Ryan Bader(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.817.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Anthony Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11
Ryan Bader
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16