Lightweight
3 Rounds
Diego Ferreira won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 18, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAnthony Pettis: Well-roundedvsDiego Ferreira: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Anthony Pettis wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Diego Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Pettis
Red Corner
VS
Diego Ferreira
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
39
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tony Ferguson · Oct 18W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony PettisMetricDiego Ferreira
3.05
Strikes / min
4.70
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
54%
Strike defense
55%
0.61
TDs / 15 min
0.82
60%
Takedown defense
57%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap+1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony PettisDiego Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Pettis(10 fights)Diego Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-48.248.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Diego Ferreira
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17