Lightweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Pettis won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 26, 2013·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupAnthony Pettis: Well-roundedvsDonald Cerrone: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Anthony Pettis wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Anthony Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Pettis
Red Corner
VS
Donald Cerrone
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
39
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony PettisMetricDonald Cerrone
3.05
Strikes / min
4.41
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.48
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.61
TDs / 15 min
1.16
60%
Takedown defense
73%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony PettisDonald Cerrone
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Pettis(10 fights)Donald Cerrone(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-59.759.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37