Lightweight
3 Rounds
Eddie Alvarez won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 17, 2016·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupAnthony Pettis: Well-roundedvsEddie Alvarez: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Anthony Pettis wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Eddie Alvarez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Alvarez has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Pettis
Red Corner
VS
Eddie Alvarez
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
39
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Eddie Alvarez
oldest →latest
W
vs Gilbert Melendez · Jun 15W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 16L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Nov 16W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Dec 17L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony PettisMetricEddie Alvarez
3.05
Strikes / min
4.32
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.39
54%
Strike defense
55%
0.61
TDs / 15 min
2.92
60%
Takedown defense
92%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony PettisEddie Alvarez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Pettis(10 fights)Eddie Alvarez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+61.9-61.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Eddie Alvarez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights7