Lightweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Anthony Pettis won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 6, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAnthony Pettis: Well-roundedvsGilbert Melendez: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Anthony Pettis wins(74.4%)
Actual result: Anthony Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Melendez enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Pettis
Red Corner
VS
Gilbert Melendez
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
39
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Gilbert MelendezL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Diego Sanchez · Oct 13L
vs Eddie Alvarez · Jun 15L
vs Edson Barboza · Jul 16L
vs Jeremy Stephens · Sep 17L
vs Arnold Allen · Jul 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony PettisMetricGilbert Melendez
3.05
Strikes / min
3.44
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
54%
Strike defense
63%
0.61
TDs / 15 min
1.64
60%
Takedown defense
71%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony PettisGilbert Melendez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Pettis(10 fights)Gilbert Melendez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+62.5-62.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Gilbert Melendez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7