Welterweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Rocco Martin won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 21, 2018·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Rocco Martin wins(61.0%)
Actual result: Anthony Rocco Martin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Keita Nakamura (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Rocco Martin
Red Corner
VS
Keita Nakamura
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
36
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Rocco Martin
oldest →latest
L
vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Sep 17W
KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18W
vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19L
vs Neil Magny · Jun 20Keita Nakamura
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Kyle Noke · Jul 16L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Oct 16W
vs Alex Morono · Sep 17W
vs Salim Touahri · Dec 18L
vs Sultan Aliev · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony Rocco MartinMetricKeita Nakamura
2.68
Strikes / min
2.23
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
58%
Strike defense
58%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.65
68%
Takedown defense
63%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony Rocco MartinKeita Nakamura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)Keita Nakamura(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.712.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+6.0-6.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Anthony Rocco Martin
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Keita Nakamura
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8