Lightweight
3 Rounds
Olivier Aubin-Mercier won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 16, 2017·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupAnthony Rocco Martin: Well-roundedvsOlivier Aubin-Mercier: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier threatens submissions; Anthony Rocco Martin has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Olivier Aubin-Mercier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Rocco Martin
Red Corner
VS
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Rocco Martin
oldest →latest
W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18W
KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18W
vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19L
vs Neil Magny · Jun 20Olivier Aubin-MercierL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Dec 16W
KOvs Evan Dunham · Apr 18L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Jul 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · Dec 18L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony Rocco MartinMetricOlivier Aubin-Mercier
2.68
Strikes / min
2.48
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
2.36
68%
Takedown defense
70%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony Rocco MartinOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)Olivier Aubin-Mercier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.123.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-197.0197.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Anthony Rocco Martin
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12