Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Aleksandar Rakic won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 29, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Aleksandar Rakic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Aleksandar Rakic has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Smith
Red Corner
VS
Aleksandar Rakic
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-278
(74%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Aleksandar RakicL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Thiago Santos · Mar 21L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricAleksandar Rakic
3.19
Strikes / min
4.13
5.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
44%
Strike defense
51%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
0.64
50%
Takedown defense
85%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.85Δ 3.12 — meaningful gap+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony SmithAleksandar Rakic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.6-12.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-144.0144.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25
Aleksandar Rakic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11