Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Khalil Rountree Jr. won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 9, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(56.4%)
Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Smith
Red Corner
VS
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Blue Corner
+164
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-198
(66%)
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ryan Spann · Aug 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →latest
W
vs Dustin Jacoby · Oct 22W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.
3.19
Strikes / min
3.88
5.04
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
44%
Strike defense
49%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
58%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.85Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony SmithKhalil Rountree Jr.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.4-22.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25
Khalil Rountree Jr.
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17