Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Roman Dolidze won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 29, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Roman Dolidze wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roman Dolidze is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Anthony Smith has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Smith
Red Corner
VS
Roman Dolidze
Blue Corner
+114
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ryan Spann · Aug 23L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Roman DolidzeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 24W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24W
vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25L
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricRoman Dolidze
3.19
Strikes / min
3.19
5.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
44%
Strike defense
48%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
1.16
50%
Takedown defense
32%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.85Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony SmithRoman Dolidze
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Roman Dolidze(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.5-24.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25
Roman Dolidze
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14