Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Anthony Smith won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Anthony Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Smith
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Spann
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'5"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Ryan Spann
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricRyan Spann
3.19
Strikes / min
3.11
5.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
44%
Strike defense
43%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
1.21
50%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.85Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony SmithRyan Spann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Ryan Spann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.4-13.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25
Ryan Spann
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15