Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Smith won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2024·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Anthony Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Vitor Petrino has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Smith
Red Corner
VS
Vitor Petrino
Blue Corner
+320
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-410
(80%)
37
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ryan Spann · Aug 23L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Vitor PetrinoW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tyson Pedro · Mar 24L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24W
SUBvs Austen Lane · Jul 25W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25W
vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricVitor Petrino
3.19
Strikes / min
3.24
5.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.71
44%
Strike defense
51%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
2.60
50%
Takedown defense
79%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.85Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony SmithVitor Petrino
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Vitor Petrino(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.55.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25
Vitor Petrino
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9