Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Zhang Mingyang won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 26, 2025·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Zhang Mingyang wins(52.3%)
Actual result: Zhang Mingyang wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zhang Mingyang is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Zhang Mingyang has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Anthony Smith
Red Corner
VS
Zhang Mingyang
Blue Corner
+295
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-370
(79%)
37
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ryan Spann · Aug 23L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24Zhang Mingyang
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Feb 24W
KOvs Ozzy Diaz · Nov 24L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricZhang Mingyang
3.19
Strikes / min
7.71
5.04
Strikes absorbed / min
5.33
44%
Strike defense
43%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
75%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.85Δ 4.23 — meaningful gap+2.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Anthony SmithZhang Mingyang
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Zhang Mingyang(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.6-5.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25
Zhang Mingyang
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4