Lightweight
3 Rounds
Justin Salas won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, February 15, 2012·Omaha, Nebraska, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anton Kuivanen wins(59.7%)
Actual result: Justin Salas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anton Kuivanen has 71pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Salas (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Anton Kuivanen
Red Corner
VS
Justin Salas
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anton Kuivanen
oldest →latest
W
vs Mitch Clarke · Jul 12L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Feb 13Justin SalasL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Aaron Riley · Jul 13L
SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Nov 13W
KOvs Ben Wall · May 14L
KOvs Joe Proctor · Jul 14L
KOvs Jason Saggo · Mar 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anton KuivanenMetricJustin Salas
2.27
Strikes / min
3.42
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
67%
Strike defense
68%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
2.43
71%
Takedown defense
0%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.64evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anton Kuivanen(3 fights)Justin Salas(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Anton Kuivanen
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3
Justin Salas
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7