Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Antonina Shevchenko won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, November 21, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Antonina Shevchenko wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Antonina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Antonina Shevchenko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Antonina Shevchenko
Red Corner
VS
Ariane Lipski
Blue Corner
-167
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
41
Age
26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonina Shevchenko
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lucie Pudilova · Aug 19L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · May 20L
SUBvs Andrea Lee · May 21L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Oct 21W
vs Cortney Casey · Jul 22Ariane Lipski
oldest →latest
W
vs Isabela De Pauda · Nov 19W
SUBvs Luana Carolina · Jul 20L
KOvs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 21W
vs Mandy Bohm · Sep 21L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonina ShevchenkoMetricAriane Lipski
3.86
Strikes / min
—
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
—
52%
Strike defense
—
0.43
TDs / 15 min
—
53%
Takedown defense
—
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Antonina ShevchenkoAriane Lipski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonina Shevchenko(8 fights)Ariane Lipski(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.84.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Antonina Shevchenko
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights8
Ariane Lipski
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4