Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Antonina Shevchenko won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Antonina Shevchenko wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Antonina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Antonina Shevchenko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Antonina Shevchenko
Red Corner
VS
Cortney Casey
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
41
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonina ShevchenkoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lucie Pudilova · Aug 19L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · May 20W
KOvs Ariane Lipski · Nov 20L
SUBvs Andrea Lee · May 21L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Oct 21Cortney Casey
oldest →latest
L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Feb 19W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21W
vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonina ShevchenkoMetricCortney Casey
3.86
Strikes / min
4.29
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
4.00
52%
Strike defense
55%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
0.39
53%
Takedown defense
39%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.93evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Antonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonina Shevchenko(8 fights)Cortney Casey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.1-4.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Antonina Shevchenko
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights8
Cortney Casey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15