Middleweight
3 Rounds
Antonio Braga Neto won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2013·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Antonio Braga Neto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Anthony Smith has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Antonio Braga Neto
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Braga NetoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Clint Hester · Jun 14L
KOvs Trevin Giles · Dec 17Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio Braga NetoMetricAnthony Smith
1.36
Strikes / min
3.19
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
45%
Strike defense
44%
3.07
TDs / 15 min
0.44
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.56evenly matched on net striking-1.85
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Braga Neto(3 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Antonio Braga Neto
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25