Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ian Heinisch won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 18, 2019·Rochester, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupAntonio Carlos Junior: WrestlervsIan Heinisch: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Antonio Carlos Junior wins(53.4%)
Actual result: Ian Heinisch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Carlos Junior has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Antonio Carlos Junior
Red Corner
VS
Ian Heinisch
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
200.66 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Carlos JuniorL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 16W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18L
vs Uriah Hall · Sep 19L
vs Brad Tavares · Jan 21Ian HeinischL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Dec 19W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jun 20L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio Carlos JuniorMetricIan Heinisch
1.95
Strikes / min
3.25
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
52%
Strike defense
59%
3.42
TDs / 15 min
1.02
53%
Takedown defense
59%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Antonio Carlos JuniorIan Heinisch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)Ian Heinisch(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.5-47.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+217.0-217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Antonio Carlos Junior
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Ian Heinisch
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7