Middleweight
3 Rounds
Antonio Carlos Junior won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, December 30, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAntonio Carlos Junior: WrestlervsMarvin Vettori: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Antonio Carlos Junior wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Antonio Carlos Junior wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Carlos Junior enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marvin Vettori has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marvin Vettori (53.5%).
- Antonio Carlos Junior has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Antonio Carlos Junior
Red Corner
VS
Marvin Vettori
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
36
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'0"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Carlos JuniorL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · May 19L
vs Uriah Hall · Sep 19L
vs Brad Tavares · Jan 21Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio Carlos JuniorMetricMarvin Vettori
1.95
Strikes / min
4.74
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
4.55
52%
Strike defense
56%
3.42
TDs / 15 min
1.41
53%
Takedown defense
68%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Antonio Carlos JuniorMarvin Vettori
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)Marvin Vettori(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.12.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Antonio Carlos Junior
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Marvin Vettori
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17