Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Patrick Cummins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 20, 2014·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupAntonio Carlos Junior: WrestlervsPatrick Cummins: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Patrick Cummins wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Patrick Cummins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Carlos Junior enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Antonio Carlos Junior has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Antonio Carlos Junior
Red Corner
VS
Patrick Cummins
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
36
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Carlos JuniorL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · May 19L
vs Uriah Hall · Sep 19L
vs Brad Tavares · Jan 21Patrick CumminsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 17W
vs Gian Villante · Jul 17L
vs Corey Anderson · Apr 18L
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 18L
KOvs Ed Herman · May 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio Carlos JuniorMetricPatrick Cummins
1.95
Strikes / min
4.26
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
52%
Strike defense
55%
3.42
TDs / 15 min
4.49
53%
Takedown defense
28%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Antonio Carlos JuniorPatrick Cummins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)Patrick Cummins(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.24.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Antonio Carlos Junior
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Patrick Cummins
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights13