Featherweight
3 Rounds
Antonio Carvalho won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 17, 2012·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupAntonio Carvalho: StrikervsRodrigo Damm: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Rodrigo Damm wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Antonio Carvalho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rodrigo Damm enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Antonio Carvalho has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Antonio Carvalho
Red Corner
VS
Rodrigo Damm
Blue Corner
-205
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+188
(35%)
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Carvalho
oldest →latest
L
vs Felipe Arantes · Jan 12W
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Jul 12L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 13Rodrigo DammL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Jun 13W
vs Ivan Jorge · Feb 14L
vs Rashid Magomedov · May 14L
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Sep 14L
vs Evan Dunham · Jan 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio CarvalhoMetricRodrigo Damm
3.03
Strikes / min
3.50
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
5.61
64%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.44
100%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Antonio CarvalhoRodrigo Damm
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Carvalho(4 fights)Rodrigo Damm(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Antonio Carvalho
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Rodrigo Damm
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7