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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
7 days away
Elo1491
Elo1504

AoriqilengvsKai AsakuraUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · Saturday, August 29, 2026Shanghai, China

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kai Asakura is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Aoriqileng has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Aoriqileng
Red Corner
VS
Kai Asakura
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1491
Elo
1504
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aoriqileng
oldest →
L
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 23
W
vs Johnny Munoz · Oct 23
L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Sep 24
W
KOvs Cody Gibson · Oct 25
L
KOvs Cody Haddon · May 26
latest
Kai Asakura
oldest →
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 24
L
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Aug 25
W
KOvs Cameron Smotherman · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

AoriqilengMetricKai Asakura
4.69
Strikes / min
2.27
5.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.53
48%
Strike defense
52%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
0.00
58%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.78evenly matched on net striking-1.26
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Aoriqileng(9 fights)Kai Asakura(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -13.1|Blue +13.1
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red -14.7|Blue +14.7
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO67%

Historical win share: Kai Asakura earned 100% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission33%

Limited submission threat from either side.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Aoriqileng

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9

Kai Asakura

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4